Winner: Tony Stewart. It's tradition. I've picked Stewart to win the 500 the last five years, with no success, so I figure that eventually, the law of averages has to catch up. I'm not entirely optimistic that Stewart will win, because I think that the Hendrick cars are going to be ridiculously strong. However, the Gibbs cars are turning 15 more relative horsepower than the Hendrick cars (more specifically, Stewart v. Junior) and 30 more horsepower than the Childress cars (Harvick). That, and the fact that Harvick won both last year, makes me once again take Stewart. However, I am more than ready to be wrong.
Highest finishing rookie: Boy, this is a tough one, because I have no idea how aggressive these open whelers are going to be in the draft. Franchitti just hung out yesterday, while Hornish quietly got a decent finish in his duel race. I'll go with Franchitti, with the provision that I fully expect both of them to crash during the race.
What's going to happen: I expect the flow of this race to mimic the Busch* race yesterday. The cars will go at it for about 20 laps, then string out for the middle portion of the race, unless there is an exceptional number of cautions. The last 50 laps or so will be utter chaos and caution filled because of the fresh tires and cooler temperatures thanks to the darkness.
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